Barcelona v Napoli preview

Barcelona v Napoli Preview

Having failed to scoop a domestic trophy for the first time since the 2007/08 campaign, success this season for Barcelona hinges on lifting the Champions League trophy.

Their policy on managers is cut-throat and the high demand for trophies in Catalonia is sought-after, even in times of uncertainty.

Nervous Times For Setien

Quique Setien was appointed manager in January after failing to persuade their former player Xavi Hernandez to take over and although the underlying foundations have been built in a transitional period in Catalonia, time is needed for Setien to watermark his philosophy and guide his plan towards success.

Whether Setien will be rewarded with time to produce brilliance without lifting a trophy is an unanswered entity, but how Barcelona react to Spanish league disappointment will be a testament to or perhaps a reflection of their current mentality.

Setien future uncertain

Since appointing Setien, Barcelona were knocked out at the quarter-final stage of the Copa del Rey by Atletico Bilbao, while their form in the league can be best summarised as coasting down a country lane before hitting multiple bumps in succession, though it was these bumps that cost them their third consecutive Spanish title.

Their form in the Champions League was expectedly impressive in a group that could have threatened an upset, but one that never managed to suffice. Victories over Dortmund and Inter Milan ensured that Barca took a domineering position at the summit of the table early on, while Slavia Prague came away from the Camp Nou with an impressive point in matchday 4 with what turned out to be a mini-blip on their quest to top the group.

Messi The Influencer

Lionel Messi doesn’t just dictate Barça’s chances of continuing their 35-match unbeaten home record in this competition, the Argentinian determines the mood too. “If we want to win the Champions League we’ll have to improve massively otherwise we can lose against Napoli,” he said recently, challenging the squad.

Barcelona v Napoli - Messi in first leg

Messi’s words of motivation will be needed in large doses on Saturday night to prevent Napoli from advancing into the quarter-final stages, with Gattuso’s men hoping to mastermind an attacking plan that will exploit space in behind Barca’s fragile backline. The Italian side travel to the Camp Nou with hopes of causing an upset, having held them to a 1-1 draw in the first leg.

Napoli Looking To Build On Cup Glory

Napoli will end the Italian’s debut season in charge with silverware regardless of how their European campaign plans out, having beaten Juventus on penalties in the Coppa Italia final.

Napoli winning Coppa Italia

Their long exertions into the deeper end of domestic competitions have taken its toll on their squad and was a contributing reason to their 7th place finish in the league, with their success in cup competitions overshadowing a disappointing league campaign for Gattuso.

Napoli’s form in the Champions League has been far from disappointing though, possessing a ruthlessness in front of goal in crucial parts of their games. Champions Liverpool were on the receiving end of some piercing attacking play in Naples and were subsequently dispatched by two goals to nil.

Their attacking play has been divine at times, but their defending is sometimes left to be desired – especially away from home – with RB Leipzig providing Gattuso’s men with their sternest test in a 3-2 victory. Napoli, however, were left unfazed and unbeaten on their passage through Group E – finishing 2nd – a point behind Liverpool.

Team news

Barcelona’s concerns are mostly disciplinary related, with Sergio Busquets and Arturo Vidal suspended for the visit of Napoli, while Dembele (fitness) and Umtiti (knee) are both sidelined.

Napoli, however, have Kostas Manolas missing from the heart of their defence, with Maksimovic (ankle) and Insigne (adductors) both doubts for this fixture.

Predicted line-ups

Barcelona – Ter Stegen; Semedo, Piqué, Lenglet, Alba; Sergi Roberto, Rakitić, De Jong; Messi, Súarez, Griezmann

Napoli – Ospina; Hysaj, Di Lorenzo, Koulibaly, Mário Rui; Fabián Ruiz, Demme, Zieliński; Callejón, Mertens, Insigne

Prediction

Napoli’s attacking force that boasts the likes of Dries Mertens and Lorenzo Insigne suggests that the Partenopei have the weapons to give Barcelona a difficult time. Gattuso has often utilised the lofted ball to exploit space in behind the opposition’s defence, and with Barcelona operating a high defensive line at home, this is certainly a potential avenue or potential route to goal for Napoli heading into this clash.

Napoli will have problems defensively with limited options to choose from, Kostas Manolas and Nikola Maksimovic are sidelined, while his side have struggled to keep a clean sheet in recent weeks.

Even without the presence of support in the stadium, it only takes the fully lit Champions League arch to encourage Messi to release his party tricks and send Napoli into a daze. His 114 European goals are impressive enough to send shivers down your spine, never-mind turn the oppositions legs to jelly. The Argentinian magician has the ability to take the game away from the opposition in a heartbeat and will be encouraged by Napoli’s defensive fragility.

Value odds

At time of researching odds, there were only a few select bookmakers available to review for this fixture. More bookmakers than those shown will inevitably catch up and also offer odds on the markets mentioned below. If you are looking for an alternate bookmaker or not sure which online bookmaker to register with, you can check out our recommended football betting apps page.

Barcelona won all three home games in last season’s knockout rounds, and are unbeaten in 14 knockout games at the Camp Nou (W12 D2), since a 3-0 loss to Bayern München in their 2012/13 semi-final second leg. Preserving this unbeaten run will be under threat to a Napoli side who are capable of producing scintillating attacking play, however, a safe bet is with Barcelona to win and both teams to score.

Bet365 – 21/10*
888Sport – 21/10*
SkyBet – 15/8*

Barcelona have scored three or more goals in each of their last four Champions League round of 16 home fixtures, scoring 6 against PSG in 2017 and 5 against Lyon last campaign. This suggests that betting on Barca to score at least three or more could be worth a punt in the UK’s largest betting markets. Here are the prices for Barcelona to score over 2.5 or over 3.5 goals:

Bet365 – (over 2.5) 7/4* / (over 3.5) 5/1*
SkyBet (3+) 7/4* / (4+) 5/1*

Not sure who to be with? Check out our home page or best football betting apps post for our expert opinions and recommendations.

Bet Builder Bets

Gerard Pique’s disciplinary record throughout his career doesn’t make for healthy reading and during this Champions League campaign he has picked up three yellow cards – putting him joint top of the list. Using the bet365 bet builder tool, you can get Lionel Messi to score anytime and Gerard Pique to be carded at 3/1*.

Dries Mertens has scored five goals in seven games during this Champions League campaign, including a double over two fixtures against Liverpool. The Belgian international is in red hot form and against a penetrable Barca backline, the odds for him to score are stacked high. Here are the odds for Dries Merten to score and Barcelona to win:

Unibet – 15/2*
Bet365 – 6/1*

*All odds shown were correct at time of writing (22:00, 5th August 2020) & are subject to change at any time.

Conclusion

Barcelona are unbeaten at home for 35 matches, but if any team can cause a shock, it is Napoli. Gattuso’s expertise in exploiting the space behind the opposition’s backline will be key towards any success that Napoli reap, while Barcelona have the ability to exploit Napoli’s issues with marking.

This contest has the capacity to deliver an action-packed affair with two footballing sides on display and when Messi is around, you can expect the roof to be raised off the Nou Camp – with the exception of no fans to witness. His diminutive figure and the left-footed wand has the capacity to get fans or neutrals off their seats, even in the comfort of their own home.

Author: Tom Griffin.