The win from behind betting market is increasingly popular due to the great odds when you select the winner. There is also a good variation in the “win or draw from behind” market. It’s a good alternative to the halftime/ full-time market when selecting a reversal in the result. By using a stats-based approach to this market we can look to identify teams who are good at winning points from losing positions. This is something that teams trend in especially in the Premier League with some teams almost becoming specialists at nicking goals in the lasts 10 minutes. Whilst there is a temptation to just stick teams you think will win but have leaky defences in by analysing the teams we can get more value and make a more considered approach to this market.
Win from behind betting stats 18/19
These stats are from the current season – Updated 5th November 2018
Matches played – 5
Wins from behind
- 2 – Arsenal, Manchester United & Leicester City
- 1 – Chelsea, Bournemouth, Watford and Cardiff
Points won from behind
- 8 – Arsenal
- 7 – Manchester United & Leicester City
- 4 – Chelsea & Bournemouth
Despite a limited number of games to show Bournemouth continue to head this list as they did last season where they won an astonishing 21 points from losing positions (5 wins, 6 draws). Here’s the full table for the 17-18 Premier League season –
If you look over the data there are teams who really stand out like Bournemouth, as previously mentioned, and Crystal Palace. These show a certain mentality about the teams that they keep going where as teams like West Brom don’t come back when they’re losing – no surprise they got relegated then!
All time Stats!!
We’ve collated all the data from every team since the Premier League began to bring you the top 5 of all time!
- Newcastle United 00-01 34 points
- Manchester United 12-13 29 points
- West Brom 10-11 27 points
- Multiple on 254 points – Arsenal 11-12 & 99-00, Manchester United 99-00, Spurs 10-11 & Everton 02-13
Last 5 years stats
We collated all the data from the last 5 years to find the top performing teams when behind, here’s some of the headline stats
Top 6 teams
- Spurs 84 points
- Chelsea 67 points
- Crystal Palace 62 points
- Liverpool 58 points
- Swansea City 56 points
- Arsenal & Manchester City 54 points
To give the data a diffecent spin these are the top 6 teams for average points gained when behind (Again last 5 years data – minimum 3 seasons)
Top 6 teams
- Spurs 1.05
- Chelsea 1 point
- Manchester City 0.91
- Liverpool 0.84
- Arsenal 0.72
- Manchester United 0.72
This view moves Crystal Palace out of the top 6 and down to 9th in the league as they’ve been behind a whopping 122 times in the last 5 season!
Some other stats
Spurs have won the most games from behind than any other team in the last 5 seasons, 22, 4 more than nearest rivals Chelsea.
Burnley have only won 2 games from behind in 66 attempts – the lowest of any team
West Brom have drawn the most games from behind, 25, but have only won 5 from behind in 113 attempts.