Welcome to our Saturday football predictions and value bets blog. Here we analyse all the football matches being played on Saturday 16th October to find value across the betting markets.
The main focus for consistency purposes will be on the outright markets, but we will of course highlight any value we spot in the alternative markets, for example both teams to score, anytime goal scorer etc. We like to normally build our own bets for the televised matches we plan on watching. Early bet builders will also be included in this blog.
We look at all the popular leagues and cups across Europe including the lower leagues to create a variety of multiple and single bets.
Check out our routine early bets for Saturday below.
Betting Offers
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William Hill
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Sensible Six-fold 🤓
This weekly bet contains six selections that all usually hold favourite status in the outright market, but in my opinion, still has value in the odds being offered.
It’s not easy correctly predicting six results from six, even when selecting teams that are very strong favourites. However you only need one or two of these bets to come in throughout the period of the season for a return to be gained.
Here are my selections for this Saturday:
- Bournemouth to beat Bristol City (away) 3pm 17/20*
- Middlesbrough to beat Peterborough (home) 3pm 4/5*
- Sunderland to beat Gillingham (away) 3pm 4/5*
- Forest Green to beat Scunthorpe (away) 3pm 4/7*
- Chelsea to Brentford (away) 5:30pm 6/10*
- Ac Milan to beat Verona (home) 7:45pm 1/2*
21.61/1 on the sixfold*
ADD THIS SIX-FOLD TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE
*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.
The link above will direct you straight to the William Hill mobile site with all six selections handily placed in to your bet-slip. If there are selections you don’t like you can easily remove them. It’s much easier to remove selections from your bet slip than it is locating each match and adding them.
Justifications
Bristol City v Bournemouth
Bournemouth are the only club in the Championship who are yet to be beaten. Eleven games in and the Cherries are top of the tree after seven wins and four draws. They are three points clear at the top and do not appear to be in any hurry to slow down the pace.
Five wins have come from Bournemouth’s last six league games, with some tough fixtures proving productive. In that run they beat QPR at home and Cardiff away. They most recently earned three points with a 2-1 home win over Sheffield United.
Bristol City are in ninth place, nine points behind Bournemouth. They have a terrible record at home. They are without a win at Ashton Gate from their last 15 league games played there. They have lost ten and drawn five, scoring just seven goals and conceding twenty-three.
Therefore, I’m expecting a comfortable away day from Bournemouth here
Middlesbrough v Peterborough
Middlesbrough are down in 15th place in the Championship, with twelve points from eleven games. They have struggled to compete with the in-form clubs in the league, such as Coventry, Blackburn and QPR. As a consequence, Middlesbrough find themselves in the bottom half of the table.
However, Peterborough are far from being classed as an in-form team. They are newly promoted and are struggling to compete in the next tier up from League One. They are second from bottom, in 23rd place and hold by far the worst goal difference in the division (-11).
They have lost all six away games they have taken part in so far, scoring three times and conceding sixteen on the road. The biggest defeat there was a 6-2 thrashing by Sheffield United – a team that Middlesbrough beat two weeks ago 2-0.
They may not be playing their best football, but they should still have enough quality and experience to get the job done here, in my opinion.
Gillingham v Sunderland
4th place Sunderland head to the Priestfield stadium off the back of five wins from seven league games. The only negative blip in that run came last time out against Portsmouth, whereby the Black Cats lost by a score of 4-0.
This looked like a classic example of complacency setting in and is something I am expecting to have been addressed in training over the past fortnight. Prior to that defeat Sunderland were scoring well and conceding few. Even with that defeat Sunderland still hold a +7 goal difference.
Gillingham host this game off the back of consecutive 2-0 defeats by Wycombe and Wigan. They have only one win from their last five home games, which has contributed to a 19th place position in the league table. They are eleven points behind Sunderland at this stage and have played two games more.
Therefore, I’m expecting Sunderland to overcome a struggling Gillingham side to get back on winning ways.
Scunthorpe v Forest Green
A classic case of top versus bottom here that needs very little justification. Forest Green are setting the example with twenty three points from eleven games. Scunthorpe are holding everybody else up at the foot of the table with seven points.
Scunthorpe have earned themselves just one point from their last six league games, suffering some heavy defeats in that time. They lost to Exeter 0-4 at home, to Newport County 3-0 away and to Harrogate Town in their last match 6-1.
They must be quaking in their boots here as they now look to host the league leaders. Forest Green will be arriving in a confident mood and have my full backing to get the job done in convincing style.
Brentford v Chelsea
Chelsea are top of the Premier League after seven games, with sixteen points. They look a real threat for the Premier League title this year, playing well as a team, both from an attacking and defensive perspective.
The only teams Chelsea have failed to extract three points from so far this season have been Liverpool and Manchester City. The five wins they have secured so far were all done so with at least a two goal cushion.
Brentford have surprised many by how well they have started their campaign. Nobody expected them to beat Arsenal and West Ham, nor hold Liverpool to a 3-3 draw. However they did.
Those results have helped Brentford to 7th position, with twelve points. However, I am expecting Tuchel and the Chelsea team to be too technically savvy for Brentford to cope with.
The clinching factor here for me here is the form and confidence of the Chelsea forwards. Lukaku has been in scoring form, helping himself to three league goals already for Chelsea.
Havertz and Werner should also be feeling confident after scoring for Germany mid-week. Werner especially as he bagged twice.
I can see it likely that goals will be score by both teams here, but ultimately it is Chelsea I see scoring the majority.
AC Milan v Verona
AC Milan are second in the Serie A, with 19 points from seven games. They have racked up five wins and one draw so far and are currently on a three game winning streak.
The drawn game played was a 1-1 score away at Juventus, which is certainly nothing to be Shameful of. Only Napoli with seven wins from seven have bettered AC Milan’s performance so far.
Verona are in 12th place with eight points. They have been scoring well of late, but have failed to make their goals count in quite a few games.
They are still seeking out their first away win of the season. So far in the road, they have lost to Bologna and have drawn against Salernitana and Genoa. That kind of form does not cut the mustard when you are looking to go up against a giant such as AC Milan in the next fixture.
This is another game whereby Incan see both teams scoring, but a game that is dominated by Milan in the possession and a game that Milan go on to win.
Dynamite Double 🧨
This bet contains two medium risk selections that I hold strong belief in. These usually contain selections that are playing away or games I fancy to draw as odds tend to be slightly stronger because of this.
- Brighton to beat Norwich (away) 3pm 23/20*
- Swindon to beat Rochdale (home) 3pm 6/5*
3.73/1* on the double
ADD THIS DOUBLE TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE
*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.
Justifications
Norwich v Brighton
Norwich are bottom of the Premier League, with just one point from their opening seven fixtures.
Goals are almost non-existent and the defence is proving very leaky. From their seven matches played, they have scored twice and conceded sixteen. The only point they have mustered came by way of a 0-0 bore draw away at Burnley.
Brighton are up in 6th place with fourteen points, after playing some very disciplined football. Four wins, two draws and one defeat will be seen as an encouraging start by the Seagulls in one of the world’s most competitive leagues.
The Brighton side look comfortable in doing what is asked of them and the tactics being applied are bringing back rewards. They have strung together a four game unbeaten run, but back to back draws in their last two games should still have them hungry for the win here.
They have the morale, current form and talent in the squad to get three points and as many teams have already achieved this with relative ease, I’m confident in Brighton doing so too.
Swindon v Rochdale
Back to back league wins for Swindon just before this game should have heads held high throughout the squad. Those wins have propelled Swindon up in to third place in League Two, with nineteen points from eleven games.
Morale should be particularly high due to the fact they beat league leaders, Forest Green 0-2 away from home last time out. This home game should feel like a stroll in the park when comparing it with their last fixture played.
Rochdale have plummeted down to eighteenth place in the league, with twelve points from eleven. They appear to have fallen off a cliff, suffering five defeats from their last five league fixtures.
In those last five matches, Rochdale put the ball in the back of the net just once, while their opponents penetrated the Rochdale goal line on nine different occasions.
With form being polar opposites here, the e home victory seems like an easy and logical selection to make.
long Shot Single 🤞
This bet is high risk and comes with high odds when taking in to account it is just a single bet. It will include a big underdog that I believe has the ability to produce a giant killing. Let’s face it these upsets happen all the time. How many times has your acca been busted because a sure fire selection turned sour? Well here I’m searching to find the acca buster and bet against the favourite.
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Motherwell to beat Celtic (home) 3pm 11/2*
ADD THIS SINGLE TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE
Justification
Motherwell v Celtic
Celtic seem to be far from the team that have been a domestic winning machine over the last decade. Eight games in to the Scottish Premiership and Celtic find themselves in 6th place with 13 points.
They have failed to win just as many games as they have won at this stage. Three defeats have already been incurred on Celtic by Hearts, Rangers and Livingstone. The mighty Hoops could also only manage a 1-1 draw at home against Dundee United.
Motherwell are one point better off than Celtic, in fourth place. They have shown a larger degree of consistency in their performances. A good example of that would be the fact they are on a three game winning streak at home.
As this fixture is at home, Motherwell should hold the belief they are capable of getting three points from this game and I fully expect them to go out in front of their home fans, putting in 100% to try and achieve that.
If Celtic turn up with their A game, this will be a difficult task to complete. I’m hoping they look a little mis-shaped, similar to how they have been in 50% of their matches so far and that Motherwell take full advantage.
Get In Touch
Would you like further justifications to our Saturday football predictions? Disagree with any of my selections featured in our Saturday football predictions or want my opinion on a game that hasn’t been mentioned? Feel free to get in touch via Twitter and I’ll be sure to get back to you. Feel free to also check out our Sunday predictions blog, where you’ll find the same bets, but with different selections.
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