Welcome to our Saturday football predictions and value bets blog. Here we analyse all the football matches being played on Saturday 22nd January to find value across the betting markets.
The main focus for consistency purposes will be on the outright markets, but we will of course highlight any value we spot in the alternative markets, for example both teams to score, anytime goal scorer etc. We like to normally build our own bets for the televised matches we plan on watching. Early bet builders will also be included in this blog.
We look at all the popular leagues and cups across Europe including the lower leagues to create a variety of multiple and single bets.
Check out our routine Saturday football tips below.
Betting Offers
bet365
Sensible Six-fold 🤓
This weekly bet contains six selections that all usually hold favourite status in the outright market, but in my opinion, still has value in the odds being offered.
It’s not easy correctly predicting six results from six, even when selecting teams that are very strong favourites. However you only need one or two of these bets to come in throughout the period of the season for a return to be gained.
Here are my selections for this Saturday:
- Birmingham to beat Barnsley (home) 3pm 4/5*
- Bournemouth to beat Hull (home) 3pm 11/20*
- Fulham to beat Stoke (away) 3pm 10/11*
- Charlton to beat Fleetwood (home) 3pm 3/4*
- Forest Green to beat Carlisle (home) 3pm 4/6*
- Newport to beat Scunthorpe (away) 3pm 10/11*
28.66/1 on the sixfold*
ADD THIS SIX-FOLD TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE
*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.
The link above will direct you straight to the William Hill mobile site with all six selections handily placed in to your bet-slip. If there are selections you don’t like you can easily remove them. It’s much easier to remove selections from your bet slip than it is locating each match and adding them.
Handy Tip For The Early Worms
Regular readers of this page may well visit early on in the week before the blog post has been updated for the coming weekend. For those looking for a sneak peak at our selections, it is worthwhile checking the bet-slip links for each bet on this page. These regularly get updated before the justifications and content gets written.
Justifications
Birmingham v Barnsley
Championship 🏴
Birmingham – 18th place, 28 points, 26 games, -13 goal difference
Barnsley – 24th place (bottom), 14 points, 24 games, -20 goal difference
Birmingham have been on a terrible run recently. They have failed to win any of their last six games in the league.
Like many teams this season, Birmingham were somewhat embarrassed by Fulham last time out, losing 6-2 away from home. I’m hoping that acts as a wake up call as they prepare to host the team at the foot of the table.
Barnsley are not really on a run, they have purely been quite terrible all season. They are without a win from their last eight games and have only picked up 2 victories from their 24 games played.
Barnsley’s last fifteen games in the league resulted in one win, three draws and eleven defeats. They are yet to win away from home, drawing four and losing eight of their twelve games on the road.
Therefore, I’m confident Birmingham will be able to dig themselves out of a rocky patch here in the hope to build up some positive momentum.
Bournemouth v Hull
Championship 🏴
Bournemouth – 2nd place, 49 points, 26 games, +20 goal difference
Hull – 19th place, 23 points, 25 games, -11 goal difference
After a rip-roaring start to the season, Bournemouth have gone slightly off the boil in their performance output. They have lost three of their last five games.
However, they remain up towards the top of the table and know full well they cannot afford to lose any more ground, for fear of dropping down the table.
Hull have just one win in six and were on a three game losing streak in the league, prior to beating Blackburn mid-week. They have lost eight of their thirteen games away from home, seven of which came without Hull scoring a goal.
Even though Hull managed to turn over Blackburn as a nice welcome gift to their new owners, I’m still confident that Bournemouth at home will be too much for the Tigers to handle.
Bournemouth have had much longer to prepare for this match, with no midweek game being played. The Cherries are also scoring well, slotting home five goals in their last five matches.
Stoke v Fulham
Championship 🏴
Stoke – 8th place, 38 points, 25 games, +5 goal difference
Fulham – 1st place, 54 points, 26 games, +47 goal difference
The Britannia Stadium was once a feared ground to visit, but that hasn’t be the case at all recently. The Potters have just one win at home from their last seven in the league and are nursing back to back home defeats.
Fulham, on the other hand, are on fire. They have won all of their last three games in the league, scoring a magnificent 19 goals in the process. They beat Reading 0-7 away, then hosted Bristol City in a 6-2 win and then thumped Birmingham at home 6-2.
Aleksandar Mitrovic has brought his personal goal tally to 27 goals from 25 appearances and as none of the six goals scored in Fulham’s last game came from him, confidence must be booming throughout the team.
If Fulham play anywhere near like they have been of late, they should have no problems in turning over a Stoke side struggling at home.
Charlton v Fleetwood
League One 🏴
Charlton – 15th place, 30 points, 26 games, +0 goal difference
Fleetwood – 19th place, 28 points, 25 games, -5 goal difference
Charlton have come through a tough set of fixtures without too much to shout about. Only one point has been gained from their last four games. However, three of those games were away from home.
At the Valley, Charlton have been effective. Their last six games at home resulted in four wins, a draw to 4th place Rotherham and a narrow 0-1 defeat to top of the league Wycombe.
Fleetwood have shown improvement in play themselves when at home. However, when playing away they have been struggling. They have just one win from their last seven away games and that was against bottom of the league Doncaster.
Charlton were able to beat Fleetwood away from home back in October with a 1-2 scoreline. Now that they hold the home advantage, I expect the margin of victory to be a little wider.
Forest Green v Carlisle
League Two 🏴
Forest Green – 1st place, 52 points, 24 games, +27 goal difference
Carlisle – 19th place, 27 points, 25 games, -11 goal difference
Forest Green are top of League Two after going thirteen game undefeated run. A run that has produced eight wins and five draws.
They have been particularly strong at home. Their last six games at The Fully Charged New Lawn saw five victories (all by way of a two goal cushion) and a goalless draw against Exeter City.
Carlisle are on a five game undefeated run themselves, but have had a nice run of fixtures. They have secured back to back wins away from home, but those wins were against teams below them in the table (Stevenage & Scunthorpe). Prior to those wins, Carlisle had picked up just one point from the previous eight games on the road.
Carlisle have a tendency to leak goals when visiting teams up towards the top of the table and as they lost to Forest Green 0-2 at home, I can’t see them mustering up much now that they face them away.
Scunthorpe v Newport
League Two 🏴
Scunthorpe – 23rd place, 19 points, 25 games, -25 goal difference
Newport – 6th place, 38 points, 25 games, +8 goal difference
Newport haven’t always been getting the desired result of late, but they have been consistently scoring goals.
In their last six games, Newport average two goals per game. Compare that to Scunthorpe, who average one goal every three games from their last six.
Newport should additionally be encouraged by the fact they not only put four past Harrogate Town in their last match, but they were also able to keep a clean sheet.
Scunthorpe have lost their last three matches on the bounce and failed to register a goal in any of them.
Newport played Scunthorpe twice throughout 2021 and won with scores of 3-0 and 4-0. Therefore, the stats clearly point towards a clean sheet victory for the away side in this fixture.
Dynamite Double 🧨
This bet contains two medium risk selections that I hold strong belief in. These usually contain selections that are playing away or games I fancy to draw as odds tend to be slightly stronger because of this.
- Wolves to beat Brentford (away) 3pm 6/4*
- Huddersfield to beat Reading (away) 3pm 11/8*
4.94/1* on the double
ADD THIS DOUBLE TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE
*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.
Justifications
Brentford v Wolves
Premier League 🏴
Brentford – 14th place, 23 points, 21 games, -9 goal difference
Wolves – 8th place, 31 points, 20 games, +2 goal difference
Wolves have found some great form from somewhere. They have won four and drawn one from their last five games. That draw was a 0-0 affair against Chelsea.
Goals are being found and not much is getting past the Wolves defence. Eight goals have been scored in five games and only one has been conceded. With six goals coming from wolves’ last two matches they have something solid to build on.
Brentford have lost four of their last five matches. Unlike Wolves they are struggling both to score and to keep the ball out of their own net. They have conceded seven goals in their last two games against and scored one.
The momentum here certainly lies with the West Midlands side and I see their winning run snowballing past this fixture.
Reading v Huddersfield
Championship 🏴
Reading – 21st place, 22 points, 25 games, -15 goal difference
Huddersfield – 7th place, 41 points, 27 games, +3 goal difference
Reading are hovering just above the relegation places after failing to pick up a win from their last five games. Three defeats and two draws
were played out, with two of those defeats coming in Reading’s last two matches.
In those two matches, Reading scored once and conceded nine. Seven of those goals came at home against Fulham. They were also dumped out of the FA Cup earlier in the month by National League side Kidderminster Harriers.
Huddersfield are on a seven game undefeated run. That run includes beating Nottingham Forest away and drawing with Blackburn away.
Huddersfield beat Reading 4-0 at home early on in the season. Even though they are away this time, I expect the result to be just as comfortable, based on how each team are playing currently.
long Shot Single 🤞
This bet is high risk and comes with high odds when taking in to account it is just a single bet. It will include a big underdog that I believe has the ability to produce a giant killing. Let’s face it these upsets happen all the time. How many times has your acca been busted because a sure fire selection turned sour? Well here I’m searching to find the acca buster and bet against the favourite.
- Southampton to beat Man City (home) 5:30pm 9/1*
ADD THIS SINGLE TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE
*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.
Justification
Southampton v Man City
Premier League 🏴
Southampton – 12th place, 24 points, 21 games, -8 goal difference
Man City – 1st place, 56 points, 22 games, +41 goal difference
Manchester City are sitting proud, eleven points clear of their closest rivals, Liverpool. They are on a twelve game winning streak in the league, beating everybody they come up against – Chelsea being their latest victim.
However, one team they have failed to beat this season in Southampton. The Saints are one of the very few teams who dared take the game to City and were rewarded with a point at the Etihad.
Southampton have shown plenty of signs of improvement in their recent games too, so should really approach this game with a shot to nothing, whilst also quietly believing they are capable of getting something from the game.
A win over West Ham away at the end of 2021 and a more recent 4-1 home victory over Brentford should bring about confidence in the attacking side of Southampton’s play, even if they did lose last time out away at Wolves.
It’s going to have to take an off day from City and Southampton to be right at the top of their game for this selection to come off, but from all the long shots available today, this is the one I see the most value in. I certainly won’t be adding it in to any accumulator, but it is worth a small staked single in my opinion and helps add a little more spice to the evening kick off.
Get In Touch
Would you like further justifications to our Saturday football predictions? Disagree with any of my selections featured in our Saturday football predictions or want my opinion on a game that hasn’t been mentioned? Feel free to get in touch via Twitter and I’ll be sure to get back to you. Feel free to also check out our Sunday predictions blog, where you’ll find the same bets, but with different selections.
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