Saturday Football Predictions – 17th April 2021

Welcome to our Saturday football predictions and value bets blog. Here we analyse all the football matches being played on Saturday 10th April to find value across the betting markets.

The main focus for consistency purposes will be on the outright markets, but we will of course highlight any value we spot in the alternative markets, for example both teams to score, anytime goal scorer etc. We like to normally build our own bets for the televised matches we plan on watching. Early bet builders will also be included in this blog.

We look at all the popular leagues and cups across Europe including the lower leagues to create a variety of multiple and single bets.

Check out our routine early bets for Saturday below.

Saturday  Football Predictions

Sensible Six-fold 🤓

This weekly bet contains six selections that all usually hold favourite status in the outright market, but in my opinion still has value in the odds being offered.

It’s not easy correctly predicting six results from six, even when selecting teams that are very strong favourites. However you only need one or two of these bets to come in throughout the period of the season for a return to be gained.

Here’s my selections for this Saturday:

sensible six-fold prediction

  1. Watford to beat Luton (away) 12:30
  2. Hull to beat Fleetwood (home) 12:30
  3. Exeter to beat Southend (home) 12:30
  4. Man City to beat Chelsea (neutral) 17:30
  5. Norwich to beat Bournemouth (home) 20:00
  6. Barcelona to beat Athletic Bilbao (neutral) 20:30

27.19/1 on the sixfold*

ADD THIS SIX-FOLD TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE

*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.

The link above will direct you straight to the William Hill mobile site with all six selections handily placed in to your bet-slip. If there are selections you don’t like you can easily remove them. It’s much easier to remove selections from your bet slip than it is locating each match and adding them.

Justifications

Luton v Watford

Luton are in 13th place, with 53 points from 40 games. Across the space of the season they have conceded 11 more than they have scored.

They have lost two from their last three and four for on their last seven. They have an inconsistent home record and you have to go back to 1994 to find a Luton win against Watford.

Watford are second in the Championship, with 82 points from 41 games. They are unbeaten from their last eight games and have won 11 times out of their last 13 matches.

Watford have only lost one game away from home on their last nine and that was against Bournemouth. This game should be bread and butter for Watford and I’m expecting this to continue to put Watford on track for automatic promotion.

Hull v Fleetwood

Hull are top of League One, with 79 points from 41 games. They are unbeaten in their last ten matches, winning eight and drawing twice. They are on a three game win streak, scoring well and conceding few.

Fleetwood are 13th in the league, with 56 points from 40 games. They have two defeats and two wins in their record from their last four games. They have been scraping wins, but against quality much less than that of Hull, with one goal margins. Compare that to Hull, who have won by a three goal margin in their last two games.


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Exeter v Southend

Exeter are in 7th place in League Two, with 60 points from 40 matches. They are just two points shy of the Playoff places and are just 6 points away from Morecambe in 4th place.

A win for them is a must here, as they also have four teams below them that are within one or two points of them. They should be confident in achieving it, after losing just one of their last six home games (W3,D2,L1).

Southend are second from bottom, with 37 points from 41 games. They are four points adrift of relegation safety and hold a much weaker goal difference than those above them. Southend have achieved only one win from their last eleven league games.

They have been hard to put away though and have picked up a few draws recently. However, I see this as a factor that will prevent Exeter from coming in to this game with any degree of complacency.

Exeter drew away to Southend back in October of last year, but with the home advantage and drive for a playoff place, I can see them doing enough to earn all three points.

Chelsea v Man City

Man City and Chelsea face off at Wembley here in this FA Cup semi final tie. It’s very difficult seeing past a Man City win here, given the consistency they have shown throughout the season.

Man City are still on track to pick up four trophies this season and if anyone has the depth in their squad to achieve it… they have.

Chelsea have been in good form themselves. However, after a blip against West Brom and defensive, “keep what we’ve got” attitude shown in their second leg Champions League game against Porto, it’s Man City for me who will be pressing hard and dominating possession.

City lost against Leeds last week, but for me, Leeds hold that ability thanks to their style of play to win games like that and then lose against someone much weaker. Man City’s style of play has shown to be a lot more reliable long term and has achieved a lot of success already this season against the top clubs.

I can’t see this game needing extra time. Man City won’t be wanting to play one minute more than they need to in this hectic schedule and will look to create some distance in the score line early on. A win by a healthy margin is how Insee this game finishing.


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Norwich v Bournemouth

Norwich have done a good job of convincing people so far this season, that they are a Premier League team who have slipped down to the Championship, rather than a Championship team who were lucky to get in to the Premier League.

They hold an eight point advantage at the top of the Championship table after 41 games, with a total of 90 points. Norwich are on a 13 game unbeaten run, winning eleven and drawing two.

The Canaries boast back to back wins coming in to this match and play with the confidence of a side who beat Huddersfield 7-0 in their last home game.

Bournemouth are in 5th place, with 71 points from 41 games. They have climbed back up the table recently after achieving five wins on the bounce, but I fear this game will be too much of a challenge for them. They have already lost five games away from home this season and have lost ten games in total.

Norwich have lost just one game all season at home and that was back in October. They have grown in stature as the season has progressed and for me have the stronger squad selection available to them. I see it being a tight game, but ultimately one that Norwich end up winning. 2-0 or 2-1 is how I see this game finishing.

Athletic Bilbao v Barcelona

These two teams head to the Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla to compete in the Copa Del Ray final. As this is Barcelona’s best chance of silverware this season, It’s logical they will be putting full available resource at this fixture.

Barcelona have been knocked out of the Champions League and are currently third in the La Liga table. They are still well within contention of the leaders, Atletico Madrid, being just two points behind.

However, with the level of uncertainty on how the end of the season plays out, Barcelona will see this as a confidence builder and something to put a smile on their fans faces.

Barcelona have only been beaten once this year in La Liga and that was last time out l, away at Real Madrid. They win 13 and drew one in the other games they played.

Athletic Bilbao are in 11th place in the La Liga table and are without a win from their last six matches. They have had an easy run in to the final and must surely be fearful about what is ahead of them. I don’t see Athletic Bilbao being in any kind of shape to be able to put up a worthy fight here.

William Hill are offering this six fold out at a standard price of 21.25/1*. Acca freedom bonus can be applied (if you haven’t already used it on another bet that day) to either boost the odds or to apply acca insurance.

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Dynamite double 🧨

This bet contains two medium risk selections that I hold strong belief in. These usually contain selections that are playing away or games I fancy to draw as odds tend to be slightly stronger because of this.

Saturday football predictions - Dynamite Double

  1. Sunderland to beat Blackpool (away) 12:30
  2. Oxford to beat Gillingham (home) 17:30

4.17/1* on the double.

ADD THIS DOUBLE TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE

*All odds shown in our Saturday football predictions are taken from William Hill and were correct at time of writing. Odds are subject to change at any time.

Justifications

Blackpool v Sunderland

A six pointer here in League One and it’s the team out of form that I fancy winning here. Sunderland may well have lost their last two matches, but they have only lost games away from home all season.

They are six points clear of Blackpool currently, but have played a game more. Sunderland can either leave this game being nine points clear of Blackpool, or leave it with that gap just being three. As they are in third place in the league, that should be enough motivation for Sunderland to give Blackpool a run for their money.

Sunderland are five points away from Peterborough and the automatic promotion places, so cannot afford to lose any ground in that fight either if they want to keep their hopes alive of avoiding the playoffs.

Blackpool are in that Playoff fight, but I see them starting cautiously and presenting themselves more like the away side than the home team here and Sunderland growing more and more confident as the match plays out.

A Sunderland goal in the second half will make the difference here for me in a low scoring game that results in three points being awarded to the away side.


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Oxford v Gillingham

Oxford appear to be over their poor run of form and are making hay while the sun shines. They are in 7th position, with 62 points from 41 games.

From winning two games in eleven, they have now gone and won three games from their last five. They hold back to back wins coming in to this match, scoring ten times in those two games. Oxford smashed Crewe away from home 0-6 and then gave Shrewsbury a 4-1 thumping at home.

Gillingham are in 10th place in the league, with 59 points from their 41 games. They have just one win in five and performed badly in their last two matches in comparison. A 4-1 away beating at Blackpool preceded a 0-0 bore draw at home against Shrewsbury – the team Oxford just trampled over.

Long Shot Single 🤞

This bet is high risk and comes with high odds when taking in to account it is just a single bet. It will include a big underdog that I believe has the ability to produce a giant killing. Let’s face it these upsets happen all the time. How many times has your acca been busted because a sure fire selection turned sour? Well here I’m searching to find the acca buster and bet against the favourite.

Long Shot Single bet

  1. Millwall to beat Brentford (away) 12:30

ADD THIS SINGLE TO YOUR WILLIAM HILL BET-SLIP HERE

Justification

Brentford v Millwall

Brentford come in to this fixture as clear favourites. They are 4th in the Championship table, with 73 points from 40 games. They are undefeated in their last six games and won in good fashion last time out in a 0-5 away win over Preston.

However that win is Brentford’s only win from their last five games. Despite not losing, they haven’t been winning much lately either. Four draws against Derby, Nottingham Forest, Huddersfield and Birmingham has severely hindered their automatic promotion dreams.

Millwall are in 9th place, with 58 points from 41 games. There’s not much hope for them now hitting the playoff places, but the team will need to remain vigilant if they do not wish to slip down the table. There are quite a few teams who sit not far behind them at all in the table.

Millwall have accumulated three wins from their last four matches, including beating Middlesbrough at home taking three points away at Stoke City.

This fixture certainly isn’t as cut and dry as the odds may suggest, in my opinion and I quite fancy the underdogs here to pull of a shock away win.


Other Sporting Event Offers

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Get In Touch

Would you like further justifications to our Saturday football predictions? Disagree with any of my selections featured in our Saturday football predictions or want my opinion on a game that hasn’t been mentioned? Feel free to get in touch via Twitter and I’ll be sure to get back to you. Feel free to also check out our Sunday predictions blog, where you’ll find the same bets, but with different selections.