Welcome to week 31 of our 20/21 Premier League predictions blog. This week’s games play out between the 16th and 22nd April 2021.
Last week saw Wolves best Fulham away with virtually the last kick of the game, thanks to a powerful strike from Traore. Man City and Leeds opened up Saturday’s football and Leeds pulled off a shock 1-2 win over the league leaders despite being down to 10 men for over 45 minutes.
Liverpool came from behind to beat Aston Villa and Chelsea trampled over Crystal Palace, beating them 1-4 away from home. Saint Maximin and Callum Wilson turned things around when they came on as substitutes and turned out to be the difference at Burnley, as two second half goals were enough to earn the Magpies three points.
West Ham took another 3-0 lead, this time against Leicester. The Foxes came back in the second half but were unable to make it count as they lost 3-2 in London. Man United put in a spirited second half performance to make up for a lacklustre first one, ultimately winning their game 1-3 away at Tottenham.
Arsenal won comfortably at Sheffield United, as expected and West Brom carried on their form witnessed at Chelsea, which carried them to an impressive 3-0 win over Southampton. The last game of the week turned out to be the most boring with an uninspiring 0-0 being played out between Brighton and Everton.
A 56% strike rate with my Premier League predictions for last week. Anything over 50%, I’m happy with and I’m extremely pleased with the fact I pretty much hit the nail on the head in four of last week’s matches. All of my Premier League predictions for last week can be viewed from the bottom of this page.
Anyhow, on to this week’s Premier League action and here is how the fixtures stack up.
Premier League fixtures
Friday 16th April
Everton v Tottenham (20:00)
Saturday 17th April
Newcastle v West Ham (12:30)
Wolves v Sheffield United (20:15)
Sunday 18th April
Arsenal v Fulham (13:30)
Manchester United v Burnley (16:00)
Monday 19th April
Leeds v Liverpool (20:00)
Tuesday 20th April
Chelsea v Brighton (20:00)
Wednesday 21st April
Tottenham v Southampton (18:00)
Aston Villa v Man City (20:15)
Thursday 22nd April
Leicester v West Brom (20:00)
Outright match odds
|Everton v Spurs||23/10||12/5||23/20|
|Newcastle v West Ham||11/4||13/5||19/20|
|Wolves v Sheff Utd||8/13||13/5||5/1|
|Arsenal v Fulham||7/10||13/5||17/4|
|Man Utd v Burnley||1/3||17/4||8/1|
|Leeds v Liverpool||15/4||16/5||13/20|
|Chelsea v Brighton||4/7||3/1||5/1|
|Spurs v Southampton||4/6||13/5||17/4|
|Aston Villa v Man City||13/2||7/2||2/5|
|Leicester v West Brom||1/2||14/5||11/2|
*Odds shown were collected at 13:30 on 13th April 2021 and are subject to change at any time.
Odds used for our Premier League predictions were taken from the bet365 app. This app is currently ranked number one in our best betting apps list and comes highly recommended from us. Well worth signing up if you haven’t already, in our opinion.
Premier League Predictions & Justifications
Everton v Spurs
- Everton and Spurs to draw 12/5*
- Under 2.5 goals 10/11*
Only one point separates these two teams and both are very much still in the hunt for a top four finish at this stage. Everton are on 48 points after 30 games and Spurs are on 49 points, having played a game more.
Neither team have been firing as they would like of late and have seen plenty of performances that they have failed to get a win from.
Everton’s goal scoring capability has completely dried up. Richarlison and Calvert Lewin only have one goal each from their last six games and Everton as a team have only scored three in that time period.
They are without a win from their last five matches, drawing two and losing three. Everton created very few chances last time out against Brighton, but in the same vein, defended well when they needed to.
Spurs have just one win from five, across all competitions and were completely overrun in the second half of their last match against Manchester United.
Mourinho has a cautious style of play at the best of times. I can see him playing extra cautiously here. He has always seemed to me as a manager who prefers to set up with the intent of not losing rather than one springing from the off to try and get a win.
Therefore, a low scoring draw seems a viable outcome from this match. Everton drew 0-0 away at Brighton last time out and with Kane playing much deeper than many Spurs fans would like, goals seem doubtful , in my opinion.
Newcastle v West Ham
- West Ham to win 19/20*
- Both teams to score 4/5*
Newcastle are in 17th place, with 32 points from 31 games. They are now 6 points clear of the drop zone and hold a game in hand over 18th placed Fulham.
The have been resilient in their fight to remain in the top tier of English football, losing just one of their last six matches. Five draws and an away win over Burnley last time out, has put them in good stead as they head in to a horrible run of fixtures.
After West Ham, Newcastle’s remaining games are against:
- Liverpool (away)
- Arsenal (home)
- Leicester (away)
- Man City (home)
- Sheffield United (home)
- Fulham (away)
Newcastle cannot rely on those two last games to just yet and so cannot afford to roll over or rest players. They will be looking to extract points from the tough opponents they face in the next five games and may feel they are in good shape to do so, after Saint Maximin and Callum Wilson both return to full fitness.
However, for me, West Ham are looking too good at the moment to discount them from winning this game. The Hammers are up to 4th place in the league, with 55 points from 31 games.
They look strong as a unit and look threatening every time they break forward. Lingard and Bowen are both in red hot form, scoring in each of West Ham’s last three matches.
West Ham have taken a 3-0 lead in all of their last three, starting explosively, but battling towards the end. They ended up drawing 3-3 at home to Arsenal, winning 2-3 away at Wolves and winning 2-3 away at Leicester.
Therefore, a Newcastle does seem likely, especially with Wilson and Saint Maximin being available. A goal, though I see not counting for much in the grand scheme of things. West Ham have proven strikers in form and are full of confidence. That will be the difference in this match, in my opinion.
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Wolves v Sheffield United
- Wolverhampton to win 8/13*
- Wolves to win to nil 7/5*
Wolves are 12th in the Premier League, with 38 points from 31 games. A disappointing season so far by their standards, but a 0-1 win last time out over a Fulham team fighting for survival, will build up belief for a strong finish.
Adama Traore ended his goal drought in injury time, which will do him the world of good. The team as a whole did well to restrict Fulham to very few clear cut chances and so I’m confident they will be able to keep Sheffield United out.
Sheffield United look like they have lost all hope and have given up any fight to remain in the Premier League. In all fairness, with 14 points from 31 games, it sure doesn’t look good for them.
The blades have lost their last five games on the bounce and were very uninspiring last time out in their 0-3 defeat, hosting Arsenal. Away from here, I’m expecting them to struggle just as much. 1-0 or 2-0 would be my Premier league predictions for the final score here.
Arsenal v Fulham
- Arsenal to win 7/10*
- Under 2.5 goals 8/11*
Arsenal have moved up to the top half of the league in to 9th, with 45 points from 31 games. They have only lost to Liverpool in their last six games and did what was expected in good style in their 0-3 win over Sheffield United, last time out.
Arsenal had to put a lot of focus on their Europa Cup tie, just three days prior, but should have enough in the tank for me to overcome a fading Fulham.
Lacazette has been in good scoring form this season, Aubameyang is available and Martinelli will have received a big confidence boost from his goal against Sheffield United.
Fulham are down in the relegation places in 18th, with 26 points from 32 games. They have lost their last four games on the bounce and will be feeling particularly wounded after losing at home to Wolves 0-1 with an injury time goal.
Fulham have battled and have certainly not given up the fight, but for me, look short in the quality and fitness department to belong in the Premier League.
Mitrovic has been failed to deliver since coming up from the Championship and players such as Robinson and Loftus Cheek have been poor at converting the few chances that have been created for them.
I am expecting Fulham to dig their heels in and make the game a tough one for Arsenal. However, the attacking prowess of Arsenal has my faith that they will be able to break the deadlock to earn all three points.
Manchester United v Burnley
- Man United to win 1/3*
- Over 2.5 goals 8/11*
- Man United -1 1/1*
Manchester United are second in the league, with 63 points from 31 games. They are eleven points shy of Manchester City, but hold a game in hand. With Man City losing last time out, there will still remains a glimmer of hope. Therefore, Man United will be hunting down three points here to keep any type of pressure on their close rivals.
United are unbeaten in their last eleven league games and are on a four game win streak. They are unbeaten at home in their last five, drawing once and winning four. In those five games, Man United scored 18 times and conceded five.
They put in an amazing second half performance against Spurs in their last match, to overturn a 1-0 first half performance in to a 1-2 victory. Pogba looks enthusiastic, Shaw continues to impress and Fred is starting to fit in quite well to the Manchester United ethos.
There are still periods of play where Manchester United look flat and out of ideas. However, when they turn it on, there appears very few teams who can cope with what is being presented to them.
Burnley are in 15th place, with 33 points from 31 games. They have just one win from their last 8 games and come in to this game after back to back defeats.
A normally reliable Burnley defence has shown fragility of late, letting in 3 against Southampton and then two against Newcastle. This leads me to believe that Manchester United will be getting success here in front of goal, especially as they are the home team.
Burnley have scored in each of their last five games and because of their physical nature, always remain a threat from long balls and set pieces. Therefore, I’m not discounting both teams scoring here, but am not convinced both will either. I’m more confident in over 2.5 goals being scored, with the majority being scored by the home side. 3-1 or 4-1 would be my hunch for the final score.
Leeds v Liverpool
- Liverpool to win 13/20*
- Both teams to score 8/15*
- Over 2.5 goals 1/2*
Leeds have got themselves in to the top half of the table in tenth place after three consecutive wins. They 45 points from 31 games, with a neutral goal difference (+0).
They put in a fantastic performance last time out to beat Man City away from home 1-2. What was more impressive was the fact they managed to achieve that win with just ten men for the whole of the second half.
However their style of play has brought about a lot of risk as well as reward. This has led Leeds to losing just as many games as winning. For the season they have won 14, drawn three and lost 14. Only the bottom four teams have lost more.
Liverpool are in 6th place in the league, with 52 points from 31 games. They appear to be a recovery run after falling apart mid-way through the season. They have now racked up three consecutive wins in the league and confidence has been growing with each victory.
Diogo Jota has made a big difference to the team since his return from injury and chances are now starting to go in to the back of the net. Leeds are a team who tend to provide the opposing team with opportunities and as such, I see Liverpool bearing fruit in this match.
Liverpool’s defence has been far from solid this season, so a Leeds goal is likely, in my opinion. However the open play style of Leeds, For me, will play in to Liverpool’s hands, who look like the better contenders for converting their chances. 1-2 or 1-3 are my Premier league predictions on how this game ends, from a score perspective.
Chelsea v Brighton
- Chelsea to win 4/7*
- Both teams to score 1/1*
- Over 2.5 goals 10/11*
Chelsea host Brighton here and look good for the win, from a stats perspective. They have bounced back beautifully from a West Brom defeat with a 1-4 away win over Crystal Palace.
Havertz scoring and assisting last time out, should bring him on leaps and bounds. Pulisic scoring twice will also do no harm to his confidence and Chelsea’s depth of quality ensures players are constantly fighting for their position under Tuchel’s management style.
Brighton are in 15th place, with 33 points from 31 games. Their main failure this season has been in the final third. Their intent and build up play has been excellent. However, the ability to actually kick the ball in to the back of the net has been somewhat of a sticking point for the Seagulls.
The amount of chances they create, on average warrants a goal here, but the way Tuchel has Chelsea set up, as well as the options he has on the bench, leans me towards Chelsea taking all three points in this match in a high scoring game.
Tottenham v Southampton
- Tottenham to win 4/6*
- Spurs -1 7/4
Tottenham are in 7th place, with 49 points from 31 games. Spurs manager, Mourinho, did not look happy at losing to his old team last one out, when they lost 1-3 at home to Manchester United. A game that Spurs went 1-0 up in.
That defeat was more down to how well Manchester a United played in the second half of the match though, rather than any real criticism on Tottenham’s performance.
Prior to that home defeat, Spurs had won their previous three on the trot and have fared well against teams in the bottom half of the table. A place where Southampton currently reside.
Southampton are in 14th place, with 36 points from 31 games. After a promising start to the season, Southampton have had a disastrous time of it after the halfway stage. The Saints have lost eleven games from their last fifteen in the league. They have also lost seven of their last eight on the road.
A 3-0 defeat to West Brom in Southampton’s last game is enough to convince me they won’t be troubling Spurs much in the follow-up match. The front men aren’t linking up well, the defence is leaking goals regularly and with Ward Prowse missing a penalty last time out, Confidence will be low in the midfield.
Son and Kane are not showing the same telepathy towards each other’s play compared to the first half of the season, but they still remain a threat and have the ability to turn a game on it’s head with one moment of brilliance. I’m not seeing one piece of play though separating these two teams. I see this being a comprehensive win for Spurs as they continue to fight for a top 6 place.
Aston Villa v Man City
- Man City to win 2/5*
- Manchester City to win to nil 13/10*
Aston Villa are in 11th place, with 44 points from 30 games. They have gained just one win from their last six matches which has turned a good start to the season in to one with not much to play for.
Villa have sorely missed Jack Grealish who has been missing since mid February and his influence he has in the team and their success is quite clear for all to see. There’s still no real indication he will be returning for this fixture and without him, I can’t see Aston Vill getting much out of The league leaders.
Man City are 11 points clear at the top and are looking good to finish as Champions as we enter the business end of the league. A small setback against Leeds last time out will have Pep angry and focussed to not lose any more ground on second place Manchester United.
I do see that loss as nothing more than a blip and can see Man City responding with a strong performance here. They have seen out a lot of clean sheet victories this season and this feels to me like a game that has the ingredients to finish in the same fashion.
Villa are likely to start off on the back foot and I expect them to stay there for the duration of the match. Chances will be few for the home team, in my opinion, whereas I’m expecting an abundance of well built up opportunities being faced by Martinez and his goal line.
Leicester v West Brom
- Leicester and West Brom to draw 14/5*
- Both teams to score 1/1
Leicester are in 3rd position, with 56 points from 31 games. Although they are enjoying a fantastic season overall, they come in to this game with back to back defeats behind them.
Consistent performances have not been witnessed from Leicester, since before the injuries that occurred to Barnes and Maddison. Without them, they have been lacking the same level of ability in the middle of the park.
Vardy has been less effective as he was with the aforementioned midfield duo. However Iheanacho has seemingly picked up a new lease of life. He has now racked up eight goals for the season and has scored seven in Leicester’s last five league games.
West Brom are second from bottom in 19th position, with 24 points from 31 games. Six of those points have come from West Brom’s last
two. They destroyed a ten-man Chelsea by 2-5 at Stamford Bridge and then handed Southampton a lesson at home by beating them 3-0.
West Brom are eight points adrift with seven games remaining. They may well have left their fight too late, but they do appear to be giving the survival fight a good go and in doing so have all of a sudden become difficult to get points from.
Therefore a draw seems like a plausible outcome here, in my opinion. West Brom will be difficult to beat in their current mood, but equally, Leicester are no mugs when playing at home. 1-1 or 2-2 look good to me here on the score come the final whistle.
*Odds shown were collected at 13:30 on 13th April 2021 and are subject to change at any time.
That concludes our Premier League predictions for another week. Have any questions about this week’s picks or would like to share your opinions with us? Get in touch on Twitter where we are quick to respond. bookmark this page for future viewing as it is updated every week to make sure every Premier league fixture is covered by at least two predictions.
Good luck with whatever it is you do decide to bet on and remember to always gamble responsibly. Check out how the previous week’s Premier League predictions performed below.
Last Week’s Premier League Predictions
Wolves to win ✅
Both teams to score ❌
Manchester City to win ❌
Man City to win to nil ❌
Liverpool to win ✅
Jota to score ❌
Liverpool -1 ❌
Chelsea to win ✅
Under 2.5 goals ❌
Final score = 0-1 ❌
Burnley and Newcastle to draw ❌
Both teams to score ✅
West Ham to win ✅
Both teams to score ✅
Over 2.5 goals ✅
Tottenham to win ❌
Kane to score ❌
A penalty to be awarded ❌
Arsenal to win ✅
Arsenal to win to nil ✅
West Brom to win ✅
Both teams to score ✅
Over 2.5 goals ✅
Brighton and Everton to draw ✅
Under 2.5 goals ✅