Welcome to our premier league predictions for game week 4. Last week saw some shocking results that knocked our Premier league predictions right out of kilter. We’re looking for the same vein of form we found from the two week’s prior.
It’s the last fixture week before the international break and as such, the fixtures have been clumped up over the Saturday and Sunday. No Premier League games will be played on Monday.
Anyhow onwards to this weekend’s fixtures where ten more games are scheduled to take place.
Premier League fixtures
Saturday 3rd October
Chelsea v Crystal Palace (12:30)
Everton v Brighton (15:00)
Leeds v Manchester City (17:30)
Newcastle v Burnley (20:00)
Sunday 4th October
Leicester v West Ham (12:00)
Southampton v West Brom (12:00)
Wolves v Fulham (14:00)
Arsenal v Sheffield United (14:00)
Manchester United v Tottenham (16:30)
Aston Villa v Liverpool (19:15)
Outright match odds
Chelsea 2/5 draw 4/1 Crystal Palace 6/1
Everton 8/13 draw 11/4 Brighton 9/2
Leeds 15/2 draw 9/2 Man City 3/10
Newcastle 7/5 draw 21/10 Burnley 21/10
Leicester 13/20 draw 16/5 West Ham 15/4
Southampton 7/10 draw 14/5 West Brom 15/4
Arsenal 8/15 draw 3/1 Sheffield United 11/2
Wolves 1/2 draw 3/1 Fulham 6/1
Man Utd 17/20 draw 11/4 Spurs 3/1
Aston Villa 9/1 draw 9/4 Liverpool 3/10
*Odds were collected at 10:00 29/09/20 and are subject to change at any time.
Odds used for our Premier League predictions were taken from the bet365 app. This app is currently ranked number one in our best betting apps list and comes highly recommended from us. Well worth signing up if you haven’t already, in our opinion.
Premier League Predictions & Justifications
Chelsea v Crystal Palace
- Chelsea to win 2/5
- Both teams to score 4/5
- Christensen to be carded (not priced up at time of writing)
- Correct score 2-1 Chelsea 15/2
Both teams will be disappointed with their last league performance, with Chelsea scraping a draw against West Brom after going 3-0 down and Palace losing to Everton at home 1-2.
One thing that Chelsea did show though was perseverance. They will be looking to make up for lost points by putting on a good display at home. They need to as their last home match, albeit against Liverpool lacked any real inspiration.
I see it being a tight match, but the better quality in the Chelsea team being the important factor in bringing home all three points, in my opinion.
Palace have found the net in all three of their league games so far, so I also see them bagging one at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea’s defence looked fragile against West Brom & Zaha and Townsend have looked hungry and clinical when given their opportunities. However Palace haven’t been renowned for being big scorers over the last year away from home and with them only finding one against Everton at Selhurst Park, I don’t foresee them getting any more here.
Christensen picked up 5 yellow cards last season and also picked one up against West Brom in their last game. With the likeliness of him being responsible for picking up Zaha, I see it likely he may well find himself in the book again. Zaha has quick feet and loves to take people on. Ingredients of persistent jiggly fouls and shirt pulls. Ref’s have been pretty keen on awarding yellows for this type of break-up in play this season.
Everton v Brighton
- Everton to win 8/13
- Both teams to score 4/5
- Over 3.5 goals 11/5
Three wins from three for Everton and well deserved wins at that gives me confidence they will continue this trend at home against a resilient Brighton.
Everton easily ran over West Brom in their last home match and overcame a tricky Crystal Palace team who were reeling from confidence by beating Manchester United the week before.
Everton are playing with a lot of harmony and understanding of each other. New players have hit the ground running and Calvert Lewin is scoring for fun.
I’m predicting a lot of goals in this game. Everton have scored 8 from their three game’s so far and Brighton have scored 6. Therefore it’s logical that both teams will score here.
With Everton scoring 5 in their last home match it makes sense that they will be the ones who score the most.
Leeds v Man City
- Man City to win 3/10
- Manchester City to win to nil 13/8
Man City will be slightly embarrassed of how they were turned over 2-5 by Leicester at the Etihad. Early reports are coming in that Centre back Ruben Diaz is an imminent transfer and Laporte is also looking to be back to match fitness after appearing on the bench in the Leicester defeat.
If that was to be the case Man City would have a much stronger back line, which in turn would also free up the midfielders to be more forward thinking.
Leeds have impressed since being promoted from the Championship. They performed well in their last match, beating Sheffield United away from home. However I see that being a very different game than this one. Against Sheffield United, Leeds dominated the possession. I don’t see that being the case here. They only managed to find one goal from the 64% possession they achieved. I’m predicting they will have much less here and will create fewer chances.
With Man City conceding 5 goals in their last match, Pep will surely be demanding a clean sheet is kept here and with the new signing imminent and likeliness that Laporte will return, I see it being more likely than not and am happy to make this one of my Premier League predictions for this week.
Newcastle v Burnley
- Newcastle and Burnley to draw 21/10
- Under 2.5 goals 8/13
Two mid-table teams here battling it out, pretty equal in quality, strengths and weaknesses. Both teams have league cup games three days before and with the lack of depth that the bigger clubs possess, these types of fixtures will be somewhat of a burden to both clubs here.
I’m predicting a game with not many chances being created and a lot of play occurring in the centre of the field. Neither team have been prolific in front of goal so far this season so I’m expecting a low scoring game. 0-0 or 1-1 seem more than plausible score lines to me.
Leicester v West Ham
- Leicester to win 13/20
- Penalty in the match (not priced up at time of writing)
- Vardy to score 4/6
Both teams here played out of their socks in their last league fixtures, pulling off not only shock wins, but shock demolitions. Leicester beat Man City 2-5 at the Etihad and West Ham beat Wolves 4-0 at the London Stadium.
This makes for a very interesting game that I am expecting and hoping will be a corker to watch. With Leicester turning over the favourites to win the league in their own back yard it’s difficult to predict anything other than a Leicester win here, especially as they are at home.
Vardy has shown no loss of acceleration or pace despite his age and although he went off against City with hip trouble he seemed adamant enough in the post-match interview that it was a minor issue and will be nothing from preventing him from making a fully-fit appearance in this fixture.
Leicester have been awarded 5 penalties already this season and the match against City would suggest that it is their strategy to get players to run in on the wrong side of the defender and to expect contact. If Vardy is on the pitch and a penalty is awarded there will be only person taking them. That said he is also the most likely person to score in open play as Leicester play him as a lone striker.
Southampton v West Brom
- Southampton to win 7/10
- Ings to score 8/11
Southampton will be looking to kick on from their first three points of the campaign picked up in their last game away at Burnley. Having the home advantage here should give them confidence that they can outdo a newly promoted team, who are conceding heavily.
West Brom will be pleased that they were able to gain a point from the Chelsea match, but at the same time deflated after throwing away a 3-0 lead. In their opening three fixtures, they have conceded eleven goals. A statistic that Ings must be salivating over.
Ings has started this season the way he finished the last one – scoring regularly. He has already notched up three goals and currently is the only Southampton player to score in the 19/20 season.
Arsenal v Sheffield United
- Arsenal to win 8/15
- Aubameyang to score 8/11
Both Sheffield United and Arsenal are coming in to this game suffering a loss in their last. However Arsenal put in a fairly good account of themselves away against a ferocious Liverpool, whereas Sheffield United looked stagnant and out of ideas in their home loss against Leeds.
Across the new and previous season, Sheffield United have lost their last 6 league games on the bounce. With Arsenal winning the FA Cup, the Community Shield and two of their three new league games, I’m happy to back the Gunners here to claim all three points.
Aubameyang has now gone two league games without scoring. He never goes too long without bagging and like frustrated with his and the team’s performance against Liverpool. This gives me confidence that he will be a little more inclined here to take matters in his own hands when needed or given the opportunity, rather than looking to be the playmaker.
Wolves v Fulham
- Wolves to win 1/2
- Jiminez to score 10/11
Fulham are representing what they are – a team that have been promoted from the Championship playoffs. They have conceded 10 goals in their first three Premier League games of the season. Wolves haven’t had the greatest of starts, but with them holding home advantage here I see them pressing hard For a convincing, morale boosting win.
Jiminez preys on a weak defence and possesses the ability to score from many situations. Although he and the whole Wolves side were somewhat nullified away at West Ham, Jiminez managed to score against Man City in their previous match.
Jiminez also found himself on the scoresheet against Sheffield United in wolves’ opening season fixture. He is Wolves’ main target man with crosses and he is constantly on the lookout for space and a chance to break away. He is the most likely candidate to claim a goal in this match, in my opinion.
Manchester United v Tottenham
- Match to end in a draw 11/4
Neither team here will be ecstatic at how their start to the season has panned out, losing to teams at home. Spurs will also be somewhat furious about the manner in which they drew to Newcastle after an injury time penalty for a very dubious Dier handball.
Manchester United will be happy they walked away with three points from the Brighton match, but will be more than aware the performance was not one that emulates the club’s ethos.
Manchester United do look dangerous with their quick attacks, but equally look frail at the back. The teams they have faced so far have found themselves with plenty of chances and if Brighton had shown a little more composure in front of goal, Manchester United would now be sat on 0 points after 3 games. Brighton scored twice and hit the frame of the goal five times. Crystal Palace also did a number on United at Old Trafford in United’s first fixture, beating them 1-3.
My Premier league predictions would be displaying a Spurs win, however news that Son will be almost certainly missing through injury has swayed me to the thinking this will end in a stalemate.
Dele Alli is likely to step in who has been out of favour, out of form and has been surrounded by speculation of his departure. I don’t see him having the same tenacity as Son and therefore I see the fluidity of Tottenham’s play taking a backwards step.
This very much evens things out in my opinion, bringing me to the conclusion a draw is the more likely result. The last time these teams met the score finished 1-1.
Aston Villa v Liverpool
- Liverpool to win 3/10
- Liverpool to score a penalty 3/1
- Salah to score 1/2
- Mane to score 6/5
No Surprise really that a Liverpool win makes up part of our Premier League predictions. Liverpool are maintaining their winning form from last season and look equally as impressive from the games they have played so far in this campaign. Home or away, they have found a way of winning games that in previous seasons would see them draw, or even lose. They now have consistency and have improved their squad with key signings Jota and Thiago.
With the amount of penalties that have already been handed out this season and with the ferocity of Liverpool’s attacking play, it makes sense to me that there is a very good chance the referee will be pointing to the spot in this game. If there is, Salah will surely be the man to step up to take it.
I also fancy Mane bagging here as well. I’m expecting more than one goal from Liverpool in this match. As Mane found the back of the net twice against Chelsea, scored against Arsenal, and bagged against Villa home and away in last season’s league matches, I’m seeing him as being the most likely candidate from open play.
*All odds were collected at 10:00 29/09/20 and are subject to change at any time.
Last Week’s Premier league Predictions
Brighton to win ❌
Maupay to score ✅
Both teams to score ✅
Man Utd to score a penalty ✅
Bruno to score anytime ✅
Everton/Crystal Palace to draw ❌
Both teams to score ✅
Calvert Lewin to score ✅
Chelsea to win ❌
Chelsea -1 ❌
Werner to score ❌
Burnley/Southampton to draw ❌
Leeds to win ✅
Both teams to score ❌
Spurs to win ❌
Spurs -1 ❌
Son to score ❌
Kane to score ❌
Man City to win ❌
Man City first half, draw second half ❌
Wolves to win ❌
Fulham/Aston Villa to draw ❌
Correct score 1-1 ❌
Liverpool to win ✅
Alexander Arnold to be booked ✅