Welcome to week 38 of our 20/21 Premier League predictions blog. This week’s games play out on the 23rd May 2021. All games this week take place at the same time, as it is the last game of the season.
A quick thank you to all readers who have followed us throughout the season. We hope the information provided was of some use to you and very much look forward to serving our Premier League predictions with you again next season. On to what happened in the last game week.
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Last week’s games
The mid-week games saw Manchester United held to a 1-1 draw by Fulham after a magnificent goal from Cavani gave Manchester United the lead. Southampton were unable to please their limited home fans by going down 0-2 to Leeds.
Brighton pulled off a shock win against Man City after Man City fell down to ten men after just ten minutes and Chelsea got some sweet revenge over Leicester by beating them 2-1.
Everton ground out a 1-0 win over Wolves, very similar to Newcastle, who won 1-0 at home to Sheffield United. Aston Villa came back from behind to beat Spurs 1-2 and Arsenal left it late, with two injury time goals to secure a 1-3 win over Crystal Palace.
Liverpool kept themselves in the top 4 fight with a 0-3 win over Burnley and West Ham dough from behind to overcome West Brom with a final score of 1-3.
10 out of 23 predictions landed from the last game week, giving me an unimpressive 43% win rate. At this stage of the season, predictions do come harder to get right, as there are so much riding on some of the games for some of the teams. It can result in irregular outcomes, as far as previous statistics go.
Anyhow, on to this week’s Premier League action and here is how the fixtures stack up.
Premier League fixtures
Sunday 23rd May
Arsenal v Brighton 16:00
Aston Villa v Chelsea 16:00
Fulham v Newcastle 16:00
Leeds v West Brom 16:00
Leicester v Spurs 16:00
Liverpool v Crystal Palace 16:00
Man City v Everton 16:00
Sheffield United v Burnley 16:00
West Ham v Southampton 16:00
Wolves v Manchester United 16:00
Outright match odds
|Arsenal v Brighton||3/5||16/5||17/4|
|Aston Villa v Chelsea||11/2||15/4||9/20|
|Fulham v Newcastle||6/5||11/4||2/1|
|Leeds v West Brom||4/9||4/1||11/2|
|Leicester v Spurs||1/1||3/1||23/10|
|Liverpool v Crystal Palace||1/7||15/2||14/1|
|Man City v Everton||2/5||17/4||6/1|
|Sheffield United v Burnley||19/10||12/5||7/5|
|West Ham v Southampton||7/10||29/10||15/4|
|Wolves v Manchester United||31/20||12/5||17/10|
*Odds shown were collected at 12:30 on 20th May 2021 and are subject to change at any time.
Odds used for our Premier League predictions were taken from the bet365 app. This app is currently ranked number one in our best betting apps list and comes highly recommended from us. Well worth signing up if you haven’t already, in our opinion.
Premier League Predictions & Justifications
Arsenal v Brighton
- Arsenal v Brighton to draw 16/5*
- Both teams to score 4/5*
Arsenal sit ninth with 58 points and have a best case scenario of finishing 7th. That position is worth fighting for as it would qualify them in to the newly formed Europa Conference League.
The primary qualification for this tournament is winning the Carabao Cup, but as Man City have secured a Champions League spot, the qualifying team falls to 7th place in the league.
The Gunners are just one point behind Everton and Spurs, so if both fail to win and Arsenal win here, they would finish in 7th.
They fought right to the end to take care of Crystal Palace on Wednesday, so I fully expect the same attitude applied here.
Brighton are safe in 16th place on 41 points. They received a huge boost in their last game, beating Man City 3-2.
However, that result can be largely contributed towards Cancelo being sent off in the 10th minute. However, Brighton still had to fight back from 0-2 down to get that result, showing great character.
They will be full of belief, but depleted in strength, as Maupay and Dunk remain suspended. Against eleven men without this resource, will be a lot tougher.
I can see Brighton being spirited enough to get a goal, especially as Welbeck is facing his former club, but when looking at the whole 90 minutes of play, It is Arsenal I fancy coming out top.
Aston Villa v Chelsea
- Chelsea to win 9/20*
- Both teams to score 4/5*
- Over 2.5 goals 8/11*
Chelsea bounced back nicely from their FA Cup final defeat by Leicester, by sending Leicester out of the too four positions in the league. A 2-0 win over the Foxes at Stamford Bridge now leaves Chelsea in third place, on 67 points.
Chelsea have left themselves with two bites of the cherry to qualify for the Champions League. They can either finish top four, win the champions League final or achieve both.
My guess is they will want to seal this deal at the first bite and in order to ensure that, a win will needed to be achieved here. There didn’t seem to be too much wrong with fitness levels against Leicester last time out and there’s a nice break between this game and the Champions League final, so I’m not expecting too many first team players to be rested.
Aston Villa are in 11th place, with 52 points and have no chance of gaining or losing places. They are completely locked in their position.
Villa put in a good turnaround performance, to fight back from 1-0 down against Spurs to win 1-2. However, as that is their first win in four games, the consistency hasn’t been there to convince me they are capable of threatening Chelsea here. Spurs also played a large part in their own downfall in that game.
Chelsea will be the only ones fighting here. Grealish will want to prove to Southgate that he is fully fit and I can see him being involved in creating an Aston Villa goal. However, I also see it likely that Chelsea will be scoring more, given the importance of the situation they find themselves in.
Fulham v Newcastle
- Newcastle to win 2/1*
- Under 2.5 goals 11/10*
Fulham are one of the three teams certain of relegation. They are in 18th place, with 28 points. In all honesty, they deserve to go down.
Two draws and seven defeats in Fulham’s last nine games, at a time when they are fighting for their lives, is quite shocking. This proves to me, that Fulham do not possess the quality in their players to compete in the top division.
Their top goal scorer for the season is a Ademola Lookman, with four goals. That is just not good enough, if you expect to remain as a Premier League outfit.
Newcastle have finished the season strongly. They have had a poor season overall, but have started to look pretty good in their recent matches. Four of their eleven wins in total this season, has come from their last seven games.
The return of Callum Wilson and Saint-Maximin have aided that turnaround, as well as Joe Willock coming in to form. Willock has just become the youngest player to score in six consecutive Premier League matches.
The stats, momentum and confidence all lie in the favour of Newcastle here. A tight low scoring game is how Insee the game being played, but with Newcastle able to open the deadlock to win by a low, narrow margin.
Leeds v West Brom
- Leeds to win 4/9*
- A win to Leeds with a -1 handicap 11/10*
Leeds are in 10th place come the last game of the campaign and are the only team who were promoted last season to stay within the elite division.
They have played some exciting football to watch, which has had its fair share of both rewards and risks. Leeds’ strategy has brought about fifteen victories, but it has also brought about 15 defeats.
However, Leeds have gone on a bit of a run and have now racked up a three game win streak. After beating Spurs 3-1, they then travelled to Burnley and won 0-4. They then travelled to Southampton and won 0-2. They are scoring well and working well together.
West Brom are another team down and out and with it, Sam Allardyce has come out and said he will be stepping down at the end of the season. I don’t see that doing anything to the West Brom player’s confidence.
The Baggies are without a win from their last 6 games and have lost their last three on the bounce. Two of those defeats were by way of a two goal deficit.
Therefore, I see it likely Leeds will be finishing the season off strong by winning comfortably here.
Leicester v Spurs
- Leicester and Spurs to draw 3/1*
- Both teams to score 4/7*
- Kane to score anytime 5/6*
Leicester have witnessed themselves drop out of the top four places, with one game remaining, despite being within them for the majority of the season.
Chelsea served a little retribution on to Leicester after losing to them in the FA Cup final, by beating them 2-1 to put the Foxes in to this situation.
They now have to rely on Chelsea or Liverpool dropping points, whilst getting a result themselves. That will not be an easy task against a team with such dangerous attacking lineup like Spurs.
Tottenham are in 7th place, with 59 points. They are out of the top four race, but are still in the fight for a Europa League or Europa Conference League place.
Spurs lost last time out against Aston Villa and will be very disappointed in the manner in which they let their 1-0 lead slip. However, with the quality Spurs have in their side, they possess a large amount of bounce-back-ability.
If the forwards can link up their play the way they want, they are a handful for any side. They haven’t been the most competent away though, which brings me with the conclusion that the draw is a very realistic outcome for the end of this game.
Kane will be itching to score here to put him solely on the pedestal of the Golden boot award and I won’t be surprised to see him get it. Iheanacho is in the form of his life recently and with Vardy in the side, Leicester can be just as menacing in the final third and so I can see at least one goal going in either end. 1-1 or 2-2 would be my Premier League predictions for the final score.
Liverpool v Crystal Palace
- Liverpool to win 1/7*
- Both teams to score 21/20*
- Benteke to score 4/1*
There’s a lot to take in to consideration in this fixture. Liverpool have just snook in to the top four places after going nine games undefeated and winning their last four matches on the bounce.
It took a last minute header from goalkeeper Allison to pick up the win against West Brom last week, but the 0-3 win over Burnley was much more convincing.
That has set them up nicely, but they must still finish the job off by picking up one last win here.
Crystal Palace are in 13th place with 44 points and don’t really have anything substantial to play for. However, it is Roy Hodgson’s last game in charge of the club after he has announced he will be leaving at the end of the season.
The Palace players will undoubtedly want to give Hodgson a send off on a positive note by going out looking for the win here. That may well make this match a real entertaining, nail biting thriller.
However, as Palace have lost five of their last seven games, I don’t fancy their chances of causing an upset. They have scored in each of their last four games so I am expecting a Palace goal, with the likely contender being Christian Benteke.
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Benteke back in scoring form
Benteke has had a good spell in the back half of the season and has climbed up to double figures for his personal goal tally. With him being a former employee of Liverpool and him not having the best of times there, He should be fired up for this fixture.
All that said, it’s Liverpool who have my vote to actually win this match. Goals can come from a much wider range of players and as Eze has just suffered an Achilles injury, Crystal Palace’s ability to move the ball forward will be less effective.
Liverpool will also have their fans back cheering them in and that, for me, will be the difference. 2-1 or 3-1 are my Premier League predictions for the final score in this final match of the season.
Man City v Everton
- Man City to win 2/5*
- Both teams to score 4/5*
Manchester City have their fans back too, who will all get to see Manchester City presented with the Premier League trophy, following the conclusion of this match.
Can you see Pep accepting anything other from his team here than a win? I can’t. Yes, they have the Champions League final to focus on and the league is already done and dusted, but City will want to keep everything positive beforehand to enter that final in the right frame of mind.
Man City are also blessed with enough depth, whereby they can field two completely different teams, both with roughly the same amount of high quality.
Man City did lose their last game to Brighton, but that was not down to an experimental team selection. That was down to a contentious red card being shown to Cancelo in the tenth minute of the match, which completely changed the complexion of the game.
Everton seeking out Europe
Everton are in 8th place, on 59 points and need a win here to have any chance of achieving some type of European qualification.
However their form, energy levels and confidence seem much more lower than their counterparts in this game. Everton’s last eleven games have yielded three wins, four draw and four defeats. Two of those defeats were against 17th place Burnley and bottom of the league, Sheffield United.
The seriousness of the situation will see Everton fighting right to the final whistle, which brings about a good chance of a goal. Everton have some big figures on their side who are always dangerous on set pieces in the final third and that showed with Richarlison’s goal last time out, to earn The Toffees a 1-0 win over Wolves.
However, the majority of the possession and attacks are almost certainly going to land with Manchester City and as long as they can keep eleven men in the pitch, they have my backing to pick up their last victory of the season to finish up on a winning total of 86 points.
Sheffield United v Burnley
- Burnley to win 7/5*
- Under 2.5 goals 1/1*
- Burnley to win to nil 7/2*
Sheffield United are bottom of the league and will stay there no matter what result they pick up here. A 20 point total with one game left spells out a miserable season for the Blades.
They have been way off the pace from day one to present day. Some games have looked like they could go on all day, without seeing a Sheffield United goal.
There has been no real standout player or period that Sheffield United can look back fondly on. Every aspect of their play has been way below average, in my opinion.
Burnley haven’t been great themselves, this campaign. They are down in 17th place, but have done enough to ensure their survival. They have a points tally at this stage of 39 points.
Burnley may not be getting the results they want, but they have shown they can be a threat and are a team not to be taken lightly. They put in a good account of themselves against Liverpool and some may argue the 0-3 scoreline was a flattering result for the Reds.
Wood looks handy
Wood is a handful to any defence in the league. He is excellent at holding the ball up, is quick for such a big frame, is more than capable with his head and tidy with his feet. He has 12 goals for the season and will certainly the main target man and key influencer, as far as Burnley are concerned.
The majority of defeats for Sheffield United this season have been suffered without them managing to a score a goal. Therefore I am not feeling Sheffield United scoring here, even if the game will be back in front of their own fans.
Burnley haven’t been banging them in all over the shop themselves, though. I can see them at least getting a goal, but I am not expecting them to run away with the game. A 0-1 or 0-2 win to the away side looks in the cards here, in my opinion.
West Ham v Southampton
- West Ham and Southampton to draw 29/10*
- Under 2.5 goals 6/5*
West Ham have just fallen short of going in to the last day, with a chance to secure a top 4 spot. Their focus now remains on keeping their number six position, in order to qualify for the Europa League. A point here will be enough to guarantee that.
The Hammers have had a fantastic season compared to their usual standards and have been a side that nobody particularly enjoyed going up against.
The loan deal of Jesse Lingard has turned out to be some fantastic business, as has Soucek who has racked up a 10 goal total for the season. Antonio is well worthy of a mention too, who has also scored 10 goals, despite being injured for some of the season.
However, a packed schedule has taken its toll on the West Ham side and it shows in recent results. Only two wins from their last six games is the reason why a top four place is out of the question. For me, West Ham have lacked that ouch they possessed during the mid-way period of the season.
Southampton find it tough away
Southampton are down in 14th place, with 43 points. A complete collapse during the beginning of the year has only just started to be recovered from. After going from a period of two wins from sixteen games, The Saints now have two wins from three.
Southampton have been terrible away from home though, losing nine of their last ten games on the road. This is something I can see Southampton wanting to address before the season closes, so I am expecting them to come out strong.
All factors considered then, a low scoring draw is where my prediction lies. West Ham will be playing tight and will be happy to settle for the draw and Southampton will be equally as tight at the back, given their current away record. 0-0 or 1-1 are my predictions here.
Wolves v Manchester United
- Wolves to win 31/20*
- Both teams to score 4/6*
- Over 2.5 goals 10/11*
Wolves are in 12th place in the league, with 45 points. That is their highest possible finish now, but my failing to win here could cost them a place or two, depending on how other results go.
Finishing the season by beating a team such as Manchester United would bring a big confidence boost to the Wolves side, which is well needed currently. They have played out two back to back defeats prior to this and, in my opinion, have struggled ever since losing Raul Jiminez, due to injury.
However I do think they hold a good chance of picking up three points from this game. Manchester United are locked up in second place and that will remain the case regardless of the outcome here.
Manchester United also have to prepare for the Europa League final against Villarreal, just three days later. Therefore, the likeliness for me is that Solskjaer will be resting players and fielding a second rate side.
Wolves looking to finish strong
This could well play right in to Wolves’ hands and with some real crowd noise jeering them on, I fancy them to give Manchester United a good run for their money.
United have been exceptional away in the league and are undefeated from their last 25 league games on the road. Therefore, I can see them getting some success from the game, by way of goals.
However, the fact that Manchester United are not as blessed with depth as other teams, it is likely for me that the stronger side in terms of quality and match fitness could well lie with Wolves. If that is the case, which I am expecting, then Wolves for me stand a very good chance of finishing the season on a high.
1-2, 1-3 or 2-3 are the score lines I fancy here, come the final whistle.
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That concludes our Premier League predictions for another week. Have any questions about this week’s picks or would like to share your opinions with us? Get in touch on Twitter where we are quick to respond. bookmark this page for future viewing as it is updated every week to make sure every Premier league fixture is covered by at least two predictions.
Good luck with whatever it is you do decide to bet on and remember to always gamble responsibly. Check out how the previous week’s Premier League predictions performed below.
Last Week’s Premier League Predictions
Manchester United to win ❌
Manchester United -1 ❌
Southampton and Leeds to draw ❌
Both teams to score ❌
Final score = 2-2 ❌
Man City to win ❌
Over 2.5 goals ✅
Leicester to win ❌
Both teams to score ✅
Over 2.5 goals ✅
Everton to win ✅
Under 2.5 goals ✅
Newcastle to win ✅
Newcastle -1 ❌
Tottenham to win ❌
Both teams to score ✅
Arsenal to win ✅
Arsenal to win to nil ❌
Liverpool to win ✅
Both teams to score ❌
Over 2.5 goals ✅
West Brom and West Ham to draw ❌
Under 2.5 goals ❌